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I will never stop bringing up that forecast track error for hurricanes appears to be improving roughly linearly over time: hurricanescience.org/science/f

Obviously this physically can’t continue past the x intercept, and it looks like we might have hit a floor recently. But even with those caveats, the fact that a linear fit works at all is just ridiculously impressive.

fediscience.org/@Ruth_Mottram/

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